Links tagged with “scenarios”
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Happy 21st Century! - Charlie’s Diary
Yeah. (via @benhammersley)
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Limits to Growth was right. New research shows we’re nearing collapse | Cathy Alexander and Graham Turner | Comment is free | theguardian.com
The “Business As Usual” scenario is looking accurate, 42 years on, although we haven’t yet seen if we reach the turning points, which will be the real (unpleasant) test. (via @agpublic)
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IBM’s 5 predictions for the future - CNN.com
This is pretty depressing. Five ideas that all involve using computers to measure everything to “improve” our lives. It’s a ruthlessly automated future, with no room for humanity, thoughtfulness, common sense, caring, vision, or true spontaneous innovation. (via @thomasfuchs)
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Ten Rules for Creating Awful Scenarios
Good (bad) tips from Jamais Cascio
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How low (power) can you go? - Charlie’s Diary
Charlie Stross takes Moore’s Law and Koomey’s Law (improving power consumption) for a walk and imagines a very, very conmected city. (via blech)
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Peak oil, the next Kondratiev cycle, generational turnings, and ERE Early Retirement Extreme: — The choice nobody ever told you about
Great thinking on long term futures. Kondratiev cycles, peak oil, the downturn, the next world war, generations. Well worth a read.
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Noah Raford » Complete PhD Online
“Large Scale Participatory Futures Systems: a Comparative Study of Online Scenario Planning Approaches” focused on the field of urban planning. I would like to work out how to make time to read this. (via @cityofsound)
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Wired Scenarios: - Global Neighborhood Watch Neal Stephenson
For blech, Neal Stephenson in 1995, imagining people watching CCTV cameras over the internet, like the new ‘Internet Eyes’ scheme starting in Britain.
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Rule Forty Two - » Welcome to the Future
Scroll some way through for evaluations of how futurists’ predictions turned out. (Although the futurists I know never called them “predictions” because we know they’re never 100% correct.) (via Boing Boing)