|
[ Scenario 1 | Scenario
2 | Scenario 3 ]
An imaginary company concerned with the integration of technology
into everyday life, creating solutions for work and play, indoors and
outdoors. 2010, Manoa method.
[I decided to try and use photographs in some format, which could
be a mistake for a futures scenario; obviously all the images look just
like aspects of the present day. Rather than simply collect photos together,
I sequenced them in a slideshow, in an effort to give the presentation
some more strict narrative. Even so, I think it more gives an impression
of an aspect of a possible future, rather than a description of one.
In addition, the first trend seemed difficult to integrate with the
other two, and I could see little way to illustrate it obviously in photos.
Consequently this trend was left out of the finished presentation rather
than make it more confusing.]
Notes:
- The impacts of three trends:
- Increasing power of supra-national organisations.
- Reduction of powers of national governments.
- More solid EU.
- Emergence of euro as major currency standard.
- Increasingly larger companies consolidate markets; less reliance on national boundaries.
- Spread of mobile communications.
- Most people are contactable anywhere, anytime.
- Arrangements/schedules are less formal and pre-planned.
- More people work freelance/contracts; less need for a 'home base.'
- Families always in touch, even if they're not at home as often.
- Benefits for both criminals and police.
- Search for alternatives to combustion-engined cars.
- Electric/combination cars become cheaper and more common.
- Smaller cars.
- Restrictions on combustion-engined car usage in many cities (no-go areas, only on certain days).
- Increasing taxes on petrol.
- More light rail, trams, bus services.
- More cycling.
- More pedestrianisation.
- Angry car users.
- Toll roads.
- People move closer to sources of work.
- Some people stuck in sprawling suburbs, unable to afford frequent car use, but with little public transportation.
- Combined effects of trends:
- Supra-national organisations and mobile communications.
- More people travelling from one country to another on business, but always in contact, connected.
- Mobile communications and car alternatives.
- Access to public transportation schedules on handhelds, bus-stops, many places.
- Car alternatives and supra-national organisations.
- Europe-wide controls on emissions, car use.
[ Scenario 1 | Scenario
2 | Scenario 3 ]
|
